I'm still seething about this.
You guys need to realise a few things. Firstly - a huge part of the reason why I'm so consistent with picking behaviour is that I spend each day on these forums READING EVERY SINGLE ONE OF YOUR POSTS. I also know most of you in real life and have done so for quite some time. I have a good memory and I'm a pretty good at picking up on behavioural trends in general, so these factors give me a considerable advantage compared to your average punter.
an example from the recent War in the Pacific game where I was able to take on the guise of Disembodied Head in the quicktopic forum and anticipate AHEAD OF TIME what his actions were likely to be in order to maintain the charade. In DH's own words:
It is scary to see how much of an open book my play is to Mal. He even predicted my actions bang on.
Part of my game strategy is also playing the mod as well as the players. When I know the person who is running the game quite well (such as in this case) I am much more easily able to anticipate the level of balance that would be built into the role dispositions and how strongly that person is likely to have built a game according to theme. This means that if something looks out of place (such as a player claiming no special abilities in a theme that revolves around monsters with special abilities) then I know it looks suss.
I believe there are two key skill areas in doing well at forum mafia. Knowing where to look and who to lynch is only half of the battle. Being able to convince the players around you that a particular course of action is the correct one is the other challenge - and is often a lot more difficult, even for me. A LOT of the time the lynches I stir up are complete smoke & mirrors. The trick is to make a lynch train look like it's chugging down the track and everyone should therefore get on board - even when in reality it's barely left the station. I often see behaviour that convinces me that someone is lying, but in a way that I could never convince others to agree (because they may not have the same insight), so what do I do? I make stuff up of course. Once committed to a course of action, I can't really falter in the attack (even if I'm still unsure) because to do so would sew doubt in the town voters and allow the mafia to capitalise. It's a pretty solid strategy.
I don't read your PMs. I would NEVER do something like that for a game. The fun is in the puzzle - doing that would not only be incredibly dishonest, but it would completely defeat the purpose of playing in the first place.
So that you guys know - there is no option in the BB software that runs the forum to read PMs anyway (phpBB3 is open source software - feel free to look it up and you can read the user's guide for yourself), so the only that someone could see what is in a PM would be to find the entry amongst thousands upon thousands of lines of encripted code, and even then you'd need to know exactly what you're looking for. Some of you seem to think that myself or the mods have the option to just log in and look behind the curtain in your user accounts. We don't.
There is no way that lynch on orange goes through if anyone else suggested it.
Look back at the activity that day. The lynch against Orange that I kickstarted had exactly ZERO momentum behind it (Brayo and I were the only voters, and Brayo was clearly on board due to being backed into a corner himself, and not necessarily because he thought Orange was actually guilty) until Russia jumped on as well.
Having the herd sheperded to victory is boring.
What's more boring is adopting a playstyle where keeping under the radar is all that anyone does. You can clearly see the change in momentum where all the vocal players in a game are taken out - it becomes a complete snorefest. I don't enjoy playing like that, so I refuse to.
The thing that grates on me is that a couple of people here have assumed the worst without considering the above. I play well, therefore I must be a cheat! All I see is a couple of sore losers who instead of reflecting on their own faults instead see fit to slander me in a place where I can't defend myself.
And that - is lower than low.